$10 Crypto Test Reveals Issues in the Latest Bull Market

In October, Bitcoin (BTC), which is the first-ever decentralized cryptocurrency (Bitcoin Wikipedia), hit an all-time high by crossing $126,000. However, by now, it has dropped significantly to around $88,000. This big drop shows a bigger issue in the cryptocurrency world – while some numbers may seem exciting, the broader market for most cryptocurrencies is not doing so well.

A Big Difference in Performance

An analytics company, SoSoValue, studied how the cryptocurrency market behaved from the beginning of 2024 to the end of 2025. They ran an experiment: What if you invested $10 across different categories of cryptocurrencies at the start of 2024? The results were surprising. In some areas of the crypto market, that $10 grew to $28 by 2025. But in other areas, it shrank drastically, leaving only $1.20.

They called this time a “tough coming-of-age moment” for cryptocurrencies. Instead of excitement and broad investments, only a few categories benefited. Those categories attracted more serious, regulated money.

The Key Change: Bitcoin ETFs

One event that had a big effect on the market was the approval of Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds, or ETFs, in January 2024. Bitcoin ETFs are investment tools that let people buy Bitcoin through regulated financial markets (ETF Wikipedia). This made Bitcoin more accessible to big institutional investors, like banks, but it also caused a division in the market.

Before ETFs, money in the cryptocurrency world tended to spread around to other smaller cryptocurrencies. But SoSoValue explained that “ETFs broke this chain.” Now, big investors mostly put their money into regulated products like Bitcoin ETFs, and very little of this money trickled down to smaller cryptocurrencies.

For example, by 2025, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs held $115 billion in investments. But Ethereum, another major cryptocurrency platform known for smart contracts and its token Ether (Ethereum Wikipedia), only had $18 billion. Other smaller cryptocurrencies barely drew any interest from big investors.

Winners, Losers, and a Changing Market

The study revealed clear winners and losers in the new market environment. Projects connected to regulated money or that already had strong positions in the market performed well. For example, the cryptocurrency BNB, used on Binance, and projects like XRP, which had cleared regulatory issues, did great. XRP is the cryptocurrency associated with the XRP Ledger platform (XRP Wikipedia).

Centralized finance (CeFi), which includes cryptocurrency services run by companies like major exchanges, grew by over 180% (DeFi Wikipedia). This matches the trend of institutional money showing preferences for regulated and centralized cryptocurrencies.

However, other parts of the market struggled. Some sectors that were previously hyped by venture capitalists (who invest in new ideas) and retail investors (regular people) saw huge declines:

SoSoValue highlighted a big problem in the earlier formula of success for some cryptocurrencies. Venture capitalists would pump money into these projects, but as token values started dropping and early investors sold their tokens (a process called unlocks), there wasn’t enough new demand to support the values any longer. This led to value crashing.

Even meme coins, which are cryptocurrencies often created for fun and social trends (Meme Coins Wikipedia), didn’t provide much safety. While meme coins managed to nearly break even over the two years, 2025 was particularly bad, with an 80% drop. Celebrities and political figures hyped these coins for profit, turning the sector into what some described as a “money-collecting machine.”

What This Says About Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s journey in this time also reflects the trends described above. Its record-breaking high in October 2024 happened because of concentrated investments from institutional investors through ETFs. This didn’t spread to the rest of the market. When Bitcoin dropped after its peak, there weren’t other strong cryptocurrencies (also called altcoins) to keep the market going.

SoSoValue explained that it’s natural for the cryptocurrency market to have ups and downs. But the wealth created in this bull market wasn’t shared broadly. Instead, it stayed in smaller pockets, like Bitcoin and a few other winners. The rest of the market was left wondering about the future, especially as the market becomes more focused on strict rules and less on speculative excitement.

This shift in focus could be seen as a moment of maturity for the cryptocurrency world – a movement away from rumors and towards a more rigorous (serious and disciplined) phase of growth.