Ripple’s digital coin, called XRP, has moved up a little in the last week. This small rise comes as the wider world of cryptocurrency starts to bounce back after a rough period. But not everyone believes this small gain will last. Some analysts think XRP could fall a lot in the near future. They even worry it could slip below the important, psychological level of $1.
What happened recently is worth explaining in simple terms. Earlier this week, XRP tried to push its price back above $1.50. It did not stay there, and now its price is around $1.39 according to CoinGecko, a site that tracks crypto prices. The total value of all XRP coins in the market, known as its market capitalization, is about $85 billion. This makes XRP the fourth-largest cryptocurrency by value. The only bigger ones right now are Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Tether (USDT).
Two observers on the X platform (formerly known as Twitter) have given notable views on XRP. The first is an analyst who uses the handle TradingShot. They have been watching XRP’s price movement closely. Their idea is that XRP has been moving inside a downward path since a difficult period called a bear market. A bear market is when prices keep falling for a long time. Their chart shows this bear market began in July 2025, a few months after XRP hit a record high of more than $3.65 per coin.
TradingShot notes that the big drop in February this year reached a target on the 1W MA200. This is a technical term that means a price line calculated from the last 200 weekly data points. In their view, XRP’s next potential fall could bring it to the 1M MA100 line, which is calculated from the last 100 monthly data points. That level sits at under $0.90. They describe this under-$0.90 area as very important because it helped form the bottom during the June 2022 bear cycle. In short, if price falls to this level, many traders would be watching to see if the drop ends or continues. TradingShot then set a long-term target of $0.9000.
The second analyst is known as WealthManager on the same platform. Their view is different but equally cautious. They describe XRP as looking “very dangerous” right now. They warn that a “huge drop could be imminent.” In simple terms, this means there could be a sharp price fall in the near future.
There is also a big voice in the crypto world who often talks about price and market moves. Adam Livingston is a well-known Bitcoin educator and supporter. He has taken a strong stance against Ripple’s XRP. He has even said he would prefer to have $100,000 in refunds from the FTX customer bankruptcy case rather than $100,000 in XRP. FTX collapsed, and this claim is a way of saying he thinks XRP may not be as safe or reliable as some other assets. He even made a pointed remark about a possible apology from Sam Bankman-Fried (the founder of FTX) if he were in prison. These comments show how different people have very different opinions about XRP and other crypto assets.
The Bullish View: Why Some Think XRP Could Rise
Even with the gloomy forecasts, many market watchers see signals that XRP might go higher soon. One strong sign is related to big investors. Since a market shake-up on October 10, very large buyers have purchased almost 4.2 billion XRP coins. At current prices, that amount is worth about $5.7 billion. When big investors buy a lot of a coin, there are fewer coins left to buy on the open market. This can push the price up if demand stays strong. In simple terms, when a few big players snap up many coins, ordinary traders feel more confident to buy too. This can create a positive wave that lifts the price higher.
The buying by these large investors is sometimes called “whale” activity—humans or funds that control a large amount of a cryptocurrency. Their confidence matters because other traders often take their lead. If whales are accumulating, it can be a sign that they expect the price to rise in the future. This is a positive sign for those who want to own XRP.
Another encouraging sign in the bullish view is how XRP moves between different kinds of wallets. Over the past weeks, XRP has been moving out of centralized exchanges. When coins leave exchanges, they go to personal wallets or other ways to store them. This is called an exchange netflow, and here the net flow has been negative for several weeks. In plain language, more coins are leaving exchanges than coming in. This reduces the number of coins that traders on exchanges can sell right away. Fewer coins on the market can help prices stay or rise because there is less selling pressure in the short term.
Analysts also look at the Relative Strength Index, or RSI. RSI is a number that helps investors understand if a price move is overdone. It compares how fast prices rose with how fast they fell. A weekly RSI around 30 is seen as “oversold.” When something is oversold, some traders expect a rebound or a rally because the price could have fallen too far too fast. In XRP’s case, the RSI is near 30 on the weekly chart. Some people see that as a potential signal that prices could bounce back up. Others watch for RSI levels above 70; those levels are sometimes linked to selling pressure rather than buying pressure.
All these factors together paint a more hopeful picture for XRP for some investors. If big buyers keep accumulating and fewer coins are available on exchanges, the price could rise. If the RSI begins to move up from the oversold area, that could add to the idea of a rebound. But investors know that markets can change quickly, and what looks good today may not stay the same tomorrow.
What Do These Terms Mean? A Quick, Simple Guide
Some words you might see in these discussions can be confusing. Here are short explanations to help you understand better. These explanations use simple examples where possible.
1) XRP Ledger — The XRP Ledger, also called the Ripple Protocol, is a cryptocurrency platform started in 2012 by a company called Ripple Labs. It uses the cryptocurrency XRP as its native money. It can also support other tokens or units of value, like miles on an airline program or minutes on a mobile plan. XRP Ledger.
2) Ripple Labs — Ripple Labs is the American company that built technology for the XRP Ledger. It began in 2012 and has had different names over time. It creates software and services for institutions and businesses to use blockchain technology. Ripple Labs.
3) Bitcoin — Bitcoin is the first digital money that is not controlled by any single person or government. It uses a public record called a blockchain and a process called mining to confirm transactions. It started in 2009. Bitcoin.
4) Ethereum — Ethereum is another big blockchain. It lets people run small programs called smart contracts. Its own money is called Ether (ETH). It supports many apps and financial services on the blockchain. It moved from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake in a big upgrade in 2022. Ethereum.
5) Tether (cryptocurrency) — Tether, known by the ticker USDT, is a stablecoin. A stablecoin is a crypto coin designed to stay close to a fixed value, usually the U.S. dollar. It is one of the largest coins by how much money is in it and how much it is traded. Tether (cryptocurrency).
These explanations are meant to help you understand the conversation around XRP. If a term feels confusing, you can look up a simple definition like the ones above to help you follow the discussion.
Bottom Line
In the next days and weeks, XRP could move in either direction. Some analysts expect a further drop toward the $0.90 area. They point to chart patterns and moving averages as reasons to be cautious. Others say big buyers are accumulating XRP and that negative exchange flows could support a rise in price. They also note that the RSI, a measure used to gauge price momentum, is in the oversold zone, which sometimes precedes a rebound.
As with all cryptocurrency assets, anything can happen. Prices are affected by many things, including market news, broader economic conditions, and the actions of large investors. If you are thinking about investing in XRP or any other crypto, you should learn as much as you can and consider seeking advice from a financial professional who understands your personal situation.
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